Tuesday, October 31, 2006

Like Victory

The Poughkeepsie Journal has found an underutilized asset for the Democrats (But just try to get someone to drive that bus to the polls):

The new statewide database of registered voters contains as many as 77,000 dead people on its rolls, and as many as 2,600 of them have cast votes from the grave, according to a Poughkeepsie Journal computer-assisted analysis.

You would think they’d get at least 10,000-15,000 votes out of that many living-impaired.

Motorway Copropraxia

An important style-setter has been nabbed:

A Swede who delights in giving speeding cameras the finger while driving past at high velocity in a car without license plates has been caught.

The man, who has been recorded three times while giving the camera the finger at a speed high enough to qualify for automatic loss of license was taken by police on the E6 highway near Sarpsborg on Sunday night.

If he does any time for this, the terrorists have won.

Scary Stuff

In A Look at What Happens if Democrats Win Congress Deroy Murdock warns, "Hypothetically, if Democrats win Congress, don't expect a mild left turn. Watch the U.S. Capitol building spin nearly 180 degrees."

He’s not kidding. An excerpt:

Foreign Affairs Chairman Richard Lugar, R-Indiana, with an 88 ACU rating, could yield to Joseph Biden, D-Delaware, with an eight.

On Intelligence, Chairman Pat Roberts, R-Kansas, who earned zeros from the ADA and AFL-CIO, might swap with West Virginia Democrat Jay Rockefeller, who received 100 and 79 from those groups.

Today's GOP House speaker, majority leader, and the chairmen of Ways and Means, Budget, Appropriations, Judiciary, International Relations and Intelligence average a 91 ACU rating. Their Democratic counterparts score seven. Conversely, compare the GOP's average ADA rating of four with a 95 for these Democrats.

Read the whole thing. And vote.

Values Make Conservatives More Generous

Anyone surprised by this should get out more:

Syracuse University professor Arthur C. Brooks is about to become the darling of the religious right wing in America — and it’s making him nervous.

The child of academics, raised in a liberal household and educated in the liberal arts, Brooks has written a book that concludes religious conservatives donate far more money than secular liberals to all sorts of charitable activities, irrespective of income.

In the book, to be released next month, he cites extensive data analysis to demonstrate that values advocated by conservatives — from church attendance to two-parent families to the Protestant work ethic and a distaste for government-funded social services — make conservatives more generous than liberals.

Liberals who only give when hassled by that annoying race-for-a-cause guy at work will reflexively denounce the extensive data analysis. Still, those with any generosity of spirit you have to feel for Brooks. He will be altogether banished from his friends’ wine and brie parties and may even be asked to turn in his Barbra Streisand tickets.

Friday, October 13, 2006

Does Diebold Make Radios?

Today’s bankruptcy filing by Air America Radio comes in the same week that Google’s announced acquisition of YouTube has pundits waking up to the left’s Web 2.0 strategy. The temptation to play this as the passing of the torch from old medium to new, however, misses the bigger picture.

Make no mistake: The left’s radio strategy failed long ago. The demand for humorless, defeatist propaganda never materialized, and today’s bankruptcy filing is simply an echo of its earlier implosion in the marketplace.

Obituaries may be premature, however. Like Fidel Castro or some horror film zombie, we may not have seen or heard the last of this coffin-dodging network. Watch for it to stagger on another day.

[Read the rest at The Right Angle at Human Events Online]

Wednesday, October 11, 2006

Real enough

I keep hearing pundits dismiss radical Islam by arguing that, well, it is nothing compared to the threat of global nuclear war. The latest pundit, however, is none other than Instapundit Glenn Reynolds, who transmits the meme thusly: “I don't mean to understate the threat, which is real enough. But it's not on the order of the Cold War, you know, and we won that one.”

Stephen Green disagrees: “It’s not often I disagree with Glenn Reynolds on an issue of substance, but in this case, the Instapundit couldn’t be more wrong.” You can read his argument here.

I’d like to disagree with Reynolds on a different point, without getting into the relative costs to society (however expressed) of high-probability, low-consequence events versus low-probability, high-consequence events (e.g., smallpox attacks, sea level rise).

Simply put, as long as terrorists keep feeling for the threshold at which one or a series of low-consequence level events can go all-consequential for a civilization with a high division of labor (long supply chains, everything JIT, critical interdependencies all over), we have no more business dismissing “low-consequence” threats from radical Islam than a man six stories up a ladder has laughing at a one-legged terrorist on the ground trying to kick the ladder out from under him.

Wednesday, September 27, 2006

Inherently evident

With Cindy Sheehan working three shifts as an activist, there probably isn't enough time in the day to, you know, write stuff. Consider Cindy Sheehan: Commas for Profit, a recent guest contribution at Buzzflash.com.

Halfway through the piece, the Anti-war Mom is in character: Simple words, short sentences, and feel-good sentiments:

Casey was three dimensional and had hopes and dreams. He wanted to finish college and teach elementary school. He wanted to marry and have babies. I wanted him to marry and have babies. I wanted to hold his children and spoil them and love them like a grandmother should.

All believably Sheehan, but only four graphs later, she has stopped moving her lips as she types and gone to graduate school. Is this "Cindy" the same person? You decide (emphasis mine):

I am sorry that the leader of our once great nation is so callous towards the people whose lives he has destroyed. If one agrees with President Chavez of Venezuela, or not, it is inherently evident in our country and the world that we should agree with him when he says democracy is not imposed by "bombs and Marines." Democracy rises from the people. Great Britain did not go to war with our forebears to impose democracy, but to stop it.

One writer per piece, luv, and go easy on the drag-and-drop. I'm just here to help.

Tuesday, September 26, 2006

Another banner day for Egyptian tourism

The same media hypocrites who pillory Pat Robertson for his every fifth utterance won’t report on stuff like this. Ever.

An excerpt from MEMRITV: Egyptian Cleric Explains Fatwa Sanctioning Killing of Israelis Visiting Egypt:

Mona Shazli, Presenter: Sheikh Safwat Higazi is one of the most well-known people to appear on TV who talks about religious matters and fatwas. He is one of the most well-known preachers, and he has a show on Al-Nas TV.

[...]

He said, among other things, that if he saw an Israeli on the street, in Egypt, he would kill him. This may give the impression of being a fatwa to kill any Israeli Jew walking down the street.

[...]

Safwat Higazi: I did not call upon people to kill Israelis in the streets. I never said such a thing.

[...]

When I said what I said, I was dreaming a beautiful dream, which I hope will come true, and that we all agree upon it. I dreamt that we are the Arab Islamic States, not just Egypt, Lebanon, and Palestine. I was truly dreaming that we are the Arab Islamic States. Get a map of the Arab homeland, and erase the borders... Or maybe these can be borders between counties or states, like the USA, in which 49 [sic] states were united into one country. I had a dream that we were one country, called the Arab Islamic States. The capital of this country is Egypt, and the president of Egypt and its government head this country. This is the dream I dreamed.


Predictably, the backtracking goes on like this for a while. Read the whole thing.

Wine in a Can

Let’s face it: White wine in a can isn’t a good idea. But is having a recent DUI arrestee promoting it any better?

From ANSA:

Producers and fans of Italian Prosecco are up in arms over plans by an Austrian company to market the sparkling white wine in a can.

The wine in a can is called Rich Prosecco and American heiress and jetsetter Paris Hilton has been hired to be the product's pitch girl.

Makers of quality Prosecco, which is produced in the northeast zones of Conegliano and Valdobbiadene, are very worried that the reputation of their wine will suffer from the marketing of an inferior product.

This should set back efforts to take Valdobbiadene upmarket by, oh, a century. Red Bull should also be worried.

And in the red trunks, weighing in at 106 pounds…

The fight is on for the ACLU – or at least the name and donor lists. A dissident group of “longtime ACLU loyalists– members, donors, supporters and activists, including former staff and members of the national or affiliate boards” has launched savetheaclu.org.

From the group’s mission statement:

We applaud the ACLU’s recent fundraising successes, but they cannot compensate for or justify persistent breaches of principle or the abandonment of honesty when those breaches are revealed. The ACLU now stands exposed, and widely ridiculed, for repeatedly acting in contempt of its own core principles, and for chilling and even attempting to prohibit dissent within its own ranks.

Over the past three years, these breaches of principle include the ACLU’s approval of grant agreements that restrict speech and associational rights; efforts by management to impose gag rules on staff and to subject staff to email surveillance; a proposal to bar ACLU board members from publicly criticizing the ACLU; and informal campaigns to purge the ACLU of its internal critics.

All of these breaches, as well as others, violate the ACLU’s historic commitment to free speech. We take little comfort from the fact that some were reversed after bad publicity and donor complaints.

We’ll find out whether these guys can feed the leadership’s bunker mentality and prompt even greater backlashes. Pass the popcorn.

Hat tip: Stoptheaclu.com

Thursday, September 21, 2006

Hugo, Put Down the Crack Pipe

When Charlie Rangel took exception at Hugo Chavez talking smack in his district, pundits were shocked. Aren’t Democrats supposed to titter at the lame sulfur jokes? Be frozen by the prospect of chiding their enemy’s enemy? Well, I’m shocked that they’re shocked.

It was the smart move for Rangel all along. He noticed the growing silence and figured the man-bites-dog aspect of the story would net a Democrat airtime aplenty.

With a safe seat and the possibility of being the next Chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee, where’s the downside for a man who just last year called Bill Clinton a redneck?

He can take any intra-party heat. Most of his spineless wonder colleagues should be ashamed.

Wednesday, September 06, 2006

Wikipedia as Linguistics Resource

Companies performing automatic text analysis can gain insights from blogs and message boards, but can't understand neologisms that don’t appear in semantic lexicons.

According to NewScientistTech, a program called Zeitgeist could help when the going gets colloquial. To understand a new word like, say, "megamercial" or "hypertasker," it searches Wikipedia and can make guesses about intention when a good enough definition cannot be determined.

It's no cordless extension cord, but pretty cool all the same.

Faithful Democrats

In a 1993 rant to the Christian Coalition, DNC Chairman (and Clinton’s 1992 campaign manager) David Wilhelm claimed that “God is an Independent” and rebuked the group for, among other sins, not backing socialized medicine:

When you call yourselves the “Christian Coalition” and savagely attack members of Congress for their point of view, implicit in that attack is the message that those who disagree have taken an un-Christian position.

Thirteen year later, with elections looming and a Pew survey showing that only 26 percent of Americans see the Democrats as friendly to religion, Wilhelm’s combative message is repackaged in FaithfulDemocrats.com ("An online Christian community").

To make sure the public buys it this time, the site enlists Tennessee Senator Roy Herron, whose folksy letter on the site’s home page churns out “religious” sound bites at a sixth-grade cognitive level:

In recent election seasons, many preachers have proclaimed not the Good News, but the Bad. They have told faithful members of their congregations that they cannot be Christians.

"Christians," they declare from the pulpit and beyond, "cannot be Democrats!"

If there’s any evidence to back up that assertion, I’d love to see it. Herron teaches divinity and law at Vanderbilt, so I’m sure he didn’t simply make it up for rhetorical effect.

Not many Christians will be influenced by the FaithfulDemocrats.com one way or the other, but at the end of the day, it is more a tool to provide sound bites to complement Democrats’ show Bibles. Here’s some more Herron:

We also prayed together before meals. I don't recall us ever eating at home without saying what Dad called "Grace" or Mother called "The Blessing." Mother and Dad, having been through the Depression, always were thankful. And they knew Whom to thank. My parents knew that they and our family and many neighbors had survived the Depression through the grace of God. And, quite frankly, through the policies of the Democratic Party.

I don’t know how that guy can sleep at night – or for that matter why Republicans should lose any sleep over FaithfulDemocrats.com.

Saturday, September 02, 2006

Such a Deal

Hezbollah was hoping for Louis “Red” Klotz or maybe the guy who traded Christie Mathewson for Amos Rusie, but they’ll find they can probably work with this German:

A SENIOR German intelligence official has arrived in Beirut in an attempt to mediate a prisoner exchange between Israel and Lebanon, an issue that threatens to rekindle hostilities unless speedily resolved.

Ernst Uhrlau, head of Germany's foreign intelligence service, BND, was involved in the last such swap two years ago, when Israel released 429 Arab prisoners for an Israeli businessman captured by Hezbollah and the bodies of three soldiers.

At long last, maybe Israel has the final solution to their history of lopsided prisoner exchanges.

Friday, September 01, 2006

Disappointing Hybrids

If lotteries are a tax on people who are bad at math, what are Toyota’s profits from Prius sales? The thought was in the back of my mind when I came across the 2006 Alternative Powertrain Study by J.D. Power and Associates.

The study finds that consumers considering hybrid vehicles expect an average fuel economy bump of – hold onto your hats – 28 mpg over a comparable gas-only vehicle (actual improvement: 9 mpg). These expectations aren’t just weird, but 200-mpg carburetor weird.

Though the typical Prius owner may be annoyed to learn he can’t drive from Berkeley to Takoma Park on a gallon of Venezuelan, the shock of realization is less acute than that of the affluent burgher who finds he sometimes needs two credit cards to fill up his H2.

The average hybrid owner is 55 years old with a household income of $113,400 according to the study. That pesky $3,000-$10,000 premium over a comparable gas-only vehicle doesn’t loom large for this buyer, and he probably sees the rolling appliance as a platform for that leftover Re-Defeat Bush bumper sticker, not as a way to save $1.59 per on his next twenty trips to Wal-Mart. This segment is small, with hybrids accounting for just 1.2 percent of light vehicles sold in the U.S. in 2005.

The expectation disconnect is unsustainable and the cost of wringing it out will be borne by the auto industry as it seeks to expand the vehicles’ appeal to younger, less-affluent consumers. With credit cards scorched by a summer of $80 fill-ups, the car-shopping public may be astonished to discover that hybrid fuel economy hasn’t reached a permanently high plateau.

The technology will get there. Though the actual R&D is slow and costly, I am confident that any technical hurdle can be overcome by sufficient application of wishful thinking, as is my understanding from watching politicians who play energy experts on television.

Thursday, August 17, 2006

Is That a Fact?

A thought for today, from David Bohm:

When we say 'this is a fact' we then imply a certain ability of the fact to 'stand up to' a wide range of different kinds of testing. Thus, the fact is established, i.e. it is shown to be stable, in the sense that it is not liable to collapse, or to be nullified at any moment, in a subsequent observation of the general sort that has already been carried out. Of course this stability is only relative, because the fact is always being tested again and again, both in ways that are familiar and in new ways that are continually being explored. So it may be refined, modified, and even radically changed, through further observation, experiment, and experience. But in order to be a 'real fact', it evidently has, in this way, to remain constantly valid, at least in certain contexts or over a certain period of time.

Wednesday, August 16, 2006

One-Newspaper Nation

In Panic on 43rd Street, Michael Wolff argues that the Gray Lady is losing its core market and becoming an Everyman suburban daily:

Unlike The Washington Post, which has put much of its editorial and business energies into dominating its local market, the Times's strategy—a doomsday scenario, foreseeing a one-newspaper nation, a last-man-standing paper—has been to make the paper national. Hence, The New York Times is no longer principally a metropolitan paper. With a daily circulation of 260,000 in the five boroughs, it's no longer even creditably a New York paper. (Its two tabloid competitors, the Daily News and the New York Post, have far more readers in New York City.) It's an Everyman suburban daily.

You can see this strategy in liberal Montgomery Country, where blue newspaper bags (New York Times) outnumber the orange (Washington Times) handily in many neighborhoods. The New York Post would make a better Everyman national newspaper, though.

One PowerPoint Over the Line

In Everything You Wanted to Know About Getting a Job in Silicon Valley But Didn’t Know Who to Ask, Guy Kawasaki weighs in on the pros and cons of the four-page CV:
As a rule of thumb, if you can’t pitch your company in ten slides or pitch yourself in one page, your idea is stupid and you suck, respectively.
Any questions?

Another Gift to Japanese Hardliners

The Russian Border Guards Service has killed an unarmed Japanese crab fisherman in the Kurils. He was minding his own business and maybe fishing illegally when they shot him in the head with what they described as a “warning shot.” They later explained that his trawler -- no doubt menacingly fast and maneuverable -- had tried to ram their patrol boat.

It’s in the Way that You Use It

Many in the media claim the Katyusha has no military value because, well, it is inaccurate. That would have been news to the Soviet army, which demonstrated as far back as 1941 that truck-mounted Katyushas could saturate a target area with salvo fire and then quickly drive off. Used correctly, this multiple-launch weapon (referred to by the Germans as Stalin’s organ for its rumbling booms) caused extensive casualties and shock.

Today, however, the various small, unguided rockets the media calls Katyushas have been adapted by guerilla groups for single-launch use, in Hezbollah's case to avoid rapid and punishing Israeli counter-battery fire. This has stripped the rocket of its military value, leading some to call it a “terror weapon,” as though it were a sort of poor man’s V-2. Yet even with Hezbollah’s profligate use (4,000 and counting) a single Katyusha incoming is more annoying than terrifying, especially for civilians who have moved beyond its short range. What, then, is it good for?

Andrew McGregor, writing in Jamestown’s Terrorism Monitor, argues that Hezbollah’s use of the rocket “signals its mastery of media warfare.” I think he’s exactly right. For low self-esteem television audiences in the Muslim world accustomed to folding Arab armies, watching a ghost town like Kiryat Shemona (population: three jumpy alley cats) get pounded must seem like cause to throw candy. And given its recruitment and propaganda function, Hezbollah terrorists probably don’t lose too much sleep over the Katyusha’s inaccuracy.

Tuesday, August 08, 2006

Deep Thought of the Day

If you’re delivering a speech to a conservative gathering, and you’re just dying up there, say something about Reagan and then sit down before the audience does.

Blah. More News You Probably Missed

Achy thumbs down: The BlackBerry is now a HackBerry
North Korea’s very weird Dear Leader has not been seen since July 4th
Meanwhile, mistrust between Japan and South Korea is at its deepest since a poll began in 1995
Yarr: Lloyd’s, noting less piracy, has dropped its war risk designation for the Malacca Strait
A new tool to fight drug counterfeiting: IBM has launched an RFID system for pharmaceutical tracking across the supply chain...
...but an RFID survey shows shockingly slow adoption by retailers
A dim view of Tom Hayden and the far left’s “bid to Vietnamize the Iraq liberation effort”
The ACLU of Louisiana hassles St. Bernard Parish over a Katrina memorial

Monday, August 07, 2006

Global News & Opinion You May Have Missed

More light summer reading: Mein Kampf hits number three on Ankara bestseller list
Ouch: Dr. Gono moves to stem 1,200% inflation in Zimbabwe
Chad and China reestablish diplomatic ties
A fatwa banning Muslims from helping Hezbollah gets argued...
...while another in Pakistan bans women from working for NGOs.
Bradley Burson argues that Israel is losing World War III
"Our worst fears have materialized": Cadeverous Rolling Stones trash German soccer pitch
Libya releases five Bulgarian nurses on bail, having held them seven years on absurd trumped-up charges
Christians still missing in China’s Zhejiang province after mega-church destruction
X-ray equipment tuned to the iron in ancient ink reveals hidden text in The Archimedes Palimpsest

Sunday, August 06, 2006

Will DVD Album Kill the CD?

Warner Music Group is launching DVD album in a bold attempt to end the CD’s 24-year reign as physical format of choice for music. The new discs will play on today’s DVD players, but are not backward compatible with CD players, disintermediating an installed base of approximately 96 quintillion CD players.

The Wall Street Journal has an excellent piece on the new format:

Warner, the world's fourth-largest music company, is in the final stages of securing technical licenses that will enable it to sell a bundle of music and extra features on a single DVD, according to people familiar with the matter. The DVD would include a music album that plays in both stereo and surround-sound on a standard DVD player -- plus video footage that plays on a DVD player or a computer. There will also be song remixes, ring tones, photos and other digital extras that can be accessed on a computer.

The company plans to make the new format available to its subsidiary record labels for product-planning purposes as early as next week and to introduce the discs to consumers with a handful of titles in October. A full-blown launch is planned for early next year. The hope is to fuel increased sales of both new product and catalog titles, in the process lifting the industry just as the 1982 introduction of the CD boosted sales as consumers replaced cassettes and vinyl albums.

Referring to the new format as “DVD album” is clueless, even for the record industry. Album means “two good tracks and ten tracks of filler.” Yes, I understand it’s not the final name, but you didn’t catch Microsoft referring to Longhorn as Microsoft Heifer before it became Vista.

Then there’s the matter of a price point higher than already-overpriced CDs. Filling the disc with shovelware might answer the question “what do we do with the extra capacity?” or “how do we clog up the hard drives of pirates?” but ring tones (??), remixes, and interviews are worth zero to most buyers, plus or minus a few cents. Besides, consumers have more pressing questions these days, such as “does this refrigerator come with an iPod dock?”

As for offering better sound, consumers wouldn’t be opposed to the idea. It’s just that they have [expletive deleted - Ed] in their ears and don’t care about anything better than, oh, 128 kbps.

Unlike previous failed formats, DVD album could kill off the CD if the entire industry got behind it. However, it is still a physical format, which puts it on the wrong side of history. Bricks and mortar record stores may long for a new format -- especially one that arrives before that last going out of business sale -- but it’s easy to resist the idea of buying your record collection all over again.

Thursday, August 03, 2006

Meathead’s Candidate

A financial report shows that Hillary continued to work her contributor network at a Ron Burkle event this spring, adding to her $43 million campaign war chest with $4,000 from Billy Crystal, $2,100 from Robert Iger, and $3,200 in smart money from Rob Reiner.

By locking in high-dollar donors early, Hillary pushes likely Democratic candidates toward MoveOn.org-style Internet strategies aimed at smaller donors. And because such grassroots efforts require attention-grabbing positions, those elbows on each side of the fundraising pie may also shift the pack leftward earlier.

It's true -- ask Meathead.

A Glow of Health

There hasn’t been a nuclear power plant built in the United States since the 1970s, but that may be about to change.

Amarillo Power is proposing the plant that, pending regulatory approval, could be completed and online within a decade, according to a copyrighted story in Tuesday's Amarillo-Globe News.

The proposal calls for a two-unit, 2,700-megawatt advanced boiled water reactor designed by General Electric, documents obtained by the newspaper through the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission and other sources show.

A megawatt is enough power to serve between 700 and 1,000 homes.
This approximately $5 billion project is the second sign of a nuclear revival following a June filing by NRG Energy to add 2,700 MW of nuclear generation capacity (not to mention a thousand jobs) at its existing South Texas Project.

Given that every anti-nuclear and nanny state group will gear up to stop them, I would think utilities interested in diverse energy supplies and a sustained nuclear revival could help by expediting any letters of intent they may be thinking about.

Concentrator Photovoltaics

With oil over $70 a barrel, demand for solar power is surging. However, silicon production hasn’t scaled up and may be a long-term bottleneck. Enter (again) concentrator photovoltaics, which use less of the stuff by having an array of mirrors concentrate sunlight onto tiny (one millimeter square) high-efficiency compound photovoltaic targets. Technology Review has a quick and accessible read on the technology.

Inspired Yet?

Adding to Sen. Joe Lieberman’s problems, Al Sharpton and Jesse Jackson are working the black church circuit in Connecticut, getting out the vote for Ned Lamont. Why them, you ask, and why now?

Well, the standard excuse would of course be, "it’s a tight race, and every vote counts." The problem, though, is that there's nary a racial angle for this demagogic duo to exploit now that Lieberman has a cloak of protection from a recent visit by the First Black President. This means the race cards will remain in sleeves, hats, and loafers.

This also leaves Sharpton and Jackson out of character, flipping through the antiwar play book for inspiration. They have found none, as The New York Post reports:

"I was disappointed that every time we came out of the huddle, it seemed like my friend Joe had the other team's uniform," Sharpton said, calling Lamont "a man I don't know as well, but he's on the same team."

Oh, yeah, that’s motivating. Are you feeling 30 percent turnout? No?

Anyway, a poll out today shows the one-dimensional Lamont a surprising 13 points ahead among likely Democratic voters, so maybe every vote won’t count after all. Still, I don’t think it’s the anti-war rhetoric from these two that’s doing it.

Tuesday, August 01, 2006

Where Terrorists are “Activists”

It’s time for another trip into the reverse universe of The Washington Post, so cue the heroic music:

In the alleys, people carried the weak and the old on their shoulders or cradled them like children. Hezbollah activists helped evacuate 80-year-old Mariam Saghir, her foot crippled, on a ladder turned into a stretcher. One of the activists carried a walkie-talkie, another a pistol. Someone then brought an orange stretcher, propping her head on two bags stuffed with her clothes.

"How much farther?" she pleaded. She rolled to the side, flies gathering on her face. "I want to stay here."

"We're almost there," one of the men reassured her
.
At least it’s internally consistent: 1.) Good is evil; 2.) Up is down; and 3.) Terrorists who invite shelling on their human shields by firing rockets from residential areas are “activists” because they help people around the body parts and teddy bears.

Friday, July 28, 2006

Hastening Down the Wind

Conventional wisdom holds that even if Ahmadinejad is crazy, this is not a problem because the mullahs hold the real power, and they're hopefully rational. Amil Imani argues in The American Thinker that the mullahs subscribe to a different reality entirely. Their watches, he says, are running fast:
The cabal of fanatical mullahs ruling Iran has lost its patience, not only with the unbelievers, but also with the Mahdi as well. They aim to force his arrival. The mullahs believe they have the means to make it impossible for the Mahdi to tarry any longer by causing unprecedented death and destruction—conditions deemed essential for his coming. The world must hit the very bottom, before the Savior of the world comes to the rescue, so they firmly believe.
Read the whole piece.

Keep Honking. I’m Reloading.

Between France refusing overflight rights and China pressuring the Crapistan nations to pull our bases, aerial rearmament of aircraft is one idea you wish could be fully realized before it becomes obsolete.

Barry Fox reports:
The US Air Force's research lab in New York is developing a system will allow fighter planes to be rearmed, as well as refuelled, in mid-flight.

A supply plane, such as a C-141 or C-17 would incorporate a telescopic boom that extends from its rear. This boom would boast its own miniature wings, to give it stability and lift while deployed. And mounted on top would be a looped conveyor belt to move bombs and missiles from the supply plane to the boom's end
.

Rube Goldberg would have been proud.

Thursday, July 13, 2006

Get Small

If you are feeling unusually self-important today, or if someone just stopped payment on your reality check, maybe it’s time for a little perspective. Remember: On the long scrolling screen of life, you are the pixel.

Monday, July 03, 2006

Farming Village, Sichuan Province

  Posted by Picasa

Sansheng Village

  Posted by Picasa

Chengdu Giant Panda Research Base

  Posted by Picasa

And This is Your Economy on 10% Growth

 
Ever wondered how many cranes you can see at one time from a highway? Probably not. Posted by Picasa

Beijing After Sunset

 Nitrogen dioxide pollution and construction dust may not smell great, but it can give Beijing an appealing Hound of the Baskervilles look. Posted by Picasa

Monday, May 29, 2006

A Suspect Commitment to Recycling

Under a proposed Pentagon program, Trident II missiles armed with conventional warheads would be available to accurately hit a terrorist target anywhere on the globe, in about an hour.

However, the idea of using a three-stage SLBM for anything but scrap metal is too much for some to process:

But the program has run into resistance from lawmakers concerned it could increase the risk of an accidental nuclear war. Under the Pentagon plan, both non-nuclear and nuclear-tipped variants of the Trident-2 missile would be loaded on the same submarines.

"There is great concern this could be destabilizing in terms of deterrence and nuclear policy," the newspaper quoted Senate Armed Services Committee member Jack Reed as saying.

"It would be hard to determine if a missile coming out a Trident submarine is conventional or nuclear," the Rhode Island Democrat said.
It wouldn’t be “hard to determine,” as Reed (2005 ADA rating: 100) knows, but impossible. Fortunately, the success of the program wouldn’t hinge on the rapid discrimination of Reed's impossible test, but on: 1.) quick notification of other nuclear powers (implementing telephone hotlines with all ICBM-armed countries would be desirable); and, 2.)whether other countries' command, control and communications could reliably get the message out in a compressed time frame.

Sunday, May 21, 2006

Thought for the Week

Thomas said to him, "Lord, we don't know where you are going, so how can we know the way?"
Jesus answered, "I am the way and the truth and the life. No one comes to the Father except through me. If you really knew me, you would know my Father as well. From now on, you do know him and have seen him."
- John 14: 5-7

Monday, May 15, 2006

Hugo Channels Algore

Hugo Chavez is in London to embarrass Tony Blair, have a photo-op with Red Ken, and (huge surprise) promise cheap heating oil to oppressed workers. He even finds time to channel Algore:

Senor Chavez said that Western countries needed to have a good look at their energy consumption, as there was not enough oil to supply the world’s population if global economic development followed the US model.

"The planet can’t take a car for everybody," he said. "This model, the so-called American way of life, will end the planet if we carry on this way. It is a crazy waste of energy."
Yes, Hugo, a car for everybody. Walk all you like, but everyone rides in a Cadillac once.

Bible Banned in Australian Hospitals

The Australian reports that Victoria hospitals have banned Bibles for the usual multi-culti reasons (e.g., not wanting to offend ROP):

BIBLES have been banned in Victorian hospitals and some schools out of concern of offending non-Christians.

Almost all Melbourne's main hospitals have withdrawn Bibles and several schools no longer hand out free Bibles.

Royal Melbourne spokesman Rod Jackson-Smith said the Bible was not banned, but said: "We don't (have Bibles in each room) any more."

"Because we have so many people from different religious backgrounds it is considered inappropriate. It is also an infection control measure."
Infection control measure?!? What in the -- I think Hillary has found her White House Press Secretary.

Hat tip: Michael Savage

Friday, May 12, 2006

Any Colour You Like

In another move to cope with open source competition, Microsoft has raised the bar with a partly open high-powered RTOS for the small but fast-growing mobile and embedded market.

At their annual Mobile and Embedded DevCon in Sin City, the company gave attendees a beta version of Windows CE 6, which again gives access to miles of source code. This will allow developers to customize user interfaces while retaining IP rights over their innovations.

A lot of tech gadgets you probably use daily, from PDAs to GPS devices, use the current Windows CE 5.0. With a September release date likely, CE 6 will power the next generation of devices starting in 2007.

Wednesday, May 10, 2006

Eurabia, Outskirts of

Vladimir Putin references Russia’s Topol-M and Bulava missiles in his state of the nation address, but avoiding payload destruction with hypersonic maneuver is arguably a less pressing matter for Russia than avoiding the demographic destruction he alludes to in the same address:

Expressing concern over what he said was an annual decline of nearly 700,000 people a year, Putin said that childcare benefits should be increased and other incentives created to raise the birthrate.

``We must at least stimulate the birth of a second child,'' said Putin, lamenting that concerns about housing, health care and education and income prompt many families to stop at one.
The excuses he wheels out are a red herring, as these factors are often worse in other countries. Russia’s 2-to-1 ratio of abortions to live births (still the world’s worst) needs the trajectory change.

Ahmadinejad Harmless?

Juan Cole argues unconvincingly that Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is a harmless fellow:

It is often said that Ahmadinejad is more dangerous because he is a millenarian, i.e. he believes in the near advent of the messianic Twelfth Imam, the promised one of the Shiites. But in fact, most millenarians are fatalists, and are willing to wait passively for God's will to intervene in history. So, his belief in the near advent of the last days may actually make him less dangerous than a practical, hardnosed secularist might be. Besides, he cannot be dangerous if he is not a commander of the armed forces, which the president in Iran is not.
Putting aside the notion that someone who might one day supply nuclear material to terrorists can't be dangerous because he is not a "commander of the armed forces," I'll grant Cole that many millenarians are indeed passive fatalists. However, Ahmadinejad’s history of incendiary rhetoric immediately excludes him from their number. Even on his best behavior (and meds?), the guy is more Shoko Asahara than Joachim of Fiore.

I think Charles Krauthammer, not Cole, understands Ahmadinejad's incentives:

So a Holocaust-denying, virulently anti-Semitic, aspiring genocidist, on the verge of acquiring weapons of the apocalypse, believes that the end is not only near but nearer than the next American presidential election. (Pity the Democrats. They cannot catch a break.) This kind of man would have, to put it gently, less inhibition about starting Armageddon than a normal person. Indeed, with millennial bliss pending, he would have positive incentive to, as they say in Jewish eschatology, hasten the end.

Tuesday, May 09, 2006

Advertisers Hanged Last?

In “Money is a Curse,” Air America co-founder Sheldon Drobny really brings the scare with that time-tested way of achieving socialism: The threat of mob violence.

A few years ago I visited my daughter in Spain while she was an exchange student. One of our tour guides was politically savvy and asked me why the rich and powerful in America are insensitive to the needs of the masses. He explained to me that after the death of Franco in 1975, the emerging socialist movement gave the wealthy classes two possible choices. Plan A was an insurrection in which they would lose all their property. Plan B was that they pay higher taxes to create the safety net needed by the masses and more fairly redistribute the wealth. Given that choice, the wealthy in Spain chose plan B.

I am afraid that in our country, it may come to the fear of losing everything through an insurrection that will finally convince the wealthy class that it is time to make a change. But, it will take a massive grass roots effort to make that happen. Hopefully the very wealthy will recognize this before they self-destruct
.
It’s not the scariest threat, is it? I mean, even if it weren’t so vague, the idea of our socialist knuckleheads organizing a “massive grass roots effort” to scare “the wealthy class” just makes you giggle.

Thursday, April 13, 2006

How to Handle Belarus

Russian natural gas colossus Gazprom plans to charge its ally Belarus market rates for natural gas when new contracts are negotiated in 2007. At current prices, such a move would more than triple the $47 per thousand cubic meters the former Soviet republic pays, effectively swinging a wrecking ball into the Belarusian economy.

Just don't expect Russia to follow through on Gazprom's threat. Putin wants to gain operating control of gas pipelines in Belarus, as he has gotten in neighboring countries. But yanking subsidies completely would trigger economic collapse in Belarus and breathe life into a democracy movement that had been badly defeated in the country's rigged March 19 presidential elections.

Belarusian strongman Alexander Lukashenko, known as "Europe's last dictator," has bet the farm politically on his belief that Belarusians prefer sclerotic stability to the roller coaster capitalism in neighboring countries. In his 12 years of rule, the former collective farm director has implemented "market socialism," a fancy name for dodging badly needed structural reform at every turn.

This policy has spared his subjects the painful transition to democracy but left the economy mostly government-owned, uncompetitive, and money-losing. A quarter of the population is mired in poverty, an economic voucher system has failed, and inflation is brewing. Meanwhile, trade deficits and a lack of foreign investment foretell a grim future.

Despite this, a vote for Lukashenko has been a vote for subsidized decrepitude, whereas a vote for reform has carried the threat of freezing in the dark. It's a ratchet effect: the weaker the economy, the greater the threat. Yet Putin knows that threat goes away if Belarusians actually are freezing in the dark.

If Russia keeps gas subsidies in some reduced form in exchange for control of the gas pipeline network in Belarus, Lukashenko will retain power but come under increased economic pressure. This will not be good for the democracy movement in Belarus or for democracy movements around the world.

Belarus has a Soviet-era arms industry that earns hard currency selling to shady regimes that don’t want to pay a lot to fix their civilian or rebel problems. They also sell more advanced weaponry to rogue states that Putin would just as soon not be linked to. With increased economic pressure, Lukashenko would certainly test the industry’s surge capacity, raising the ability of rogue regimes to crush budding democracy movements around the world.

The United States, E.U., and many of Belarus's neighbors have reacted angrily to blatantly rigged March elections in which Lukashenko awarded himself nearly 83 percent of the vote (while leaving his nearest opposition candidate in single digits). Yet with Belarus isolated -- and insulated -- from the West, Lukashenko's future lies squarely in the geo-strategic calculations in the Kremlin, not in any privileges or memberships the West can remove.

The free world can best help the democracy movement in Belarus -- as well as others around the world -- by going beyond mere visa bans and asset freezes. The focus should be on imposing costs on the rogue regimes that source weaponry from the increasingly proliferation-minded Lukashenko.

*****

Note: Also posted earlier today at Human Events Online.

Wednesday, March 15, 2006

Now Make Him Wave

When Russell Feingold committed political suicide on the floor of the Senate, liberals' first impulse was to avert your eyes: "Move along, nothing to see here." The Washington Post respectfully buried the sad event on A8 (or was it A9? I can't remember). But when the feet sticking out from under the tarp didn’t go unnoticed, they quickly picked him up, applied some makeup, and -- hey presto! -- today he's a "maverick," right smack on the front page.

[Read the rest of the post at The Right Angle at Human Events Online]

Tuesday, March 14, 2006

Another One Jumps the Couch

George Clooney's a liberal, he'll have you know. A huge one.

In an obscenity-laden post at HuffPo (remember: profanity = passion), the activist-actor admits, "I am a liberal. And I make no apologies for it. Hell, I'm proud of it."

Well, I'm not so much proud of him as in awe of the career risk he's invited. After this, he won't so much as see a script in Aramaic. And imagine all the hurtful emails he'll get from the left-wing websites. They've been weaning people off of "liberal" for the relatively pristine "progressive," and with one post Clooney sets their exodus back a year.

A word of caution, though, George: They love you now, but they'll turn on you after they've used you up. They'll throw you away just like, um, just like…what's her name, um…Cindy Sheehan.

[Note: Originally posted at The Right Angle, a Human Events blog]

Tuesday, March 07, 2006

Quote of the Day (and perhaps month)

I think my paranoid schizophrenia has improved my ability to be a good ruler of my fellow Aztec citizens. - Anonymous

Still Stuck on Angry

I started reading The Democrats’ Real Problem by Bush critic E.J. Dionne with a sense of anticipation. Maybe, thought I, he could solve the paradox of the angry left. Alas, the piece doesn't deliver on its title, and just deposits the reader back at square one.
The Democrats' real problem is that they have failed to show that their critique of the Republican status quo is the essential first step toward an alternative program.
Okay, in other words, they need to get off of angry. But anger is not only the central concept of modern anti-Bush lefties -- it has become an essential attribute that cannot be removed without destroying its host.

This failure has made it easier for Republicans to cast anti-Bush feeling (aka, ``Bush hatred'') as a psychological disorder. The GOP shrewdly makes the president's critics look crazed and suggests that opposition to Bush is of no more significance than, say, the loathing that many watchers of ``American Idol'' love to express toward Simon Cowell, the meanest of the show's judges.
With Gore yelling, Dean screaming, Kennedy blathering, and Hillary shrieking, who needs the GOP to make the president’s critics look crazed? The American People can diagnose each disorder by symptoms presented. But I guess if you’re crazed, marveling at The Scream amounts to dirty trickery on a par with forcing Dukakis into that tank with the big helmet on. Or making Kerry crawl around in that powder blue bunny suit. That Rove! He's behind it all.

The president's critics need to identify precisely why they oppose him, not only so they can make clear that they are not psycho basket cases, but also to convey that they know what needs to be put right.
But that gets right back to not having any ideas, doesn’t it? Dionne's conclusion that fighting bad policies can be constructive is fine, but in practice the Democrats' oppositionism is perceived as both reflexive and transparently calculated for political effect.

Thoreau’s Law in Action

Wes Pruden has a tragicomic piece you should check out. It appears the mayor of Ocean Springs, a town devastated by Katrina, approached FEMA to fund locally popular permanent housing for $60,000 (which incidentally is what it costs the agency to “ship and set up” a trailer).
FEMA said no. The law allows FEMA to provide housing only "on a temporary basis," and the Gulf Coast residents who qualify for one of the 10,000 trailers currently parked and going to rust and ruin on an abandoned muddy airstrip in Arkansas can have one for 18 months. So Ocean Springs will soon have a trailer park, with 600 trailers to replace the 700 houses destroyed by the storm. "FEMA," the mayor says, "is creating trailer trash."
Your community can’t have permanent housing it likes, but it can have rusting blight -- for 18 months. Rules are rules.

Read the whole thing.

Differently Abled Encryption?

Granted, it's a mere bump in the road to consumer acceptance of fingerprint-based authentication, but this is hardly Microsoft's finest moment.

From Engadget:

If you've got a Microsoft Fingerprint Reader hooked up to your PC and thought you had the latest and greatest in biometric security, you're out of luck. A Finnish researcher has discovered that the reader -- which Microsoft has said shouldn't be used to protect sensitive data (meaning, we assume, you should just use it to check out those wild whorls) -- sends fingerprint info to the PC unencrypted, which could enable anyone with the right tools to snag your fingerprint image, and use it to log into your PC. Strangely, Microsoft licenses the technology from another company, Digital Persona, which does encrypt fingerprint data. For some reason, however, Microsoft chose to disable encryption in its product, making it less secure than the passwords it purports to replace.
This is less secure than the passwords for another reason, as well: If consumers trust that an authentication product is secure, they may tend to relax about other security measures.

At the other end of the security spectrum, here's a laptop for somebody "who lives in a really bad neighborhood":

NEC introduced its Generation laptop for the education market, but it looks like it’s aimed at somebody who lives in a really bad neighborhood. It’s loaded with security measures that are so extensive they border on paranoia. First, the notebook is password-protected and login is done with via a hardware fingerprint security chip, great for schoolkids because they won’t have to remember a password. There’s an NEC security control panel, which allows administrators to disable USB or optical drives, keeping that unauthorized software out of the picture. Is also has a Kensington lock slot, a Stoptrack anti-theft label and Webtrack geographical tracking software. Of course, the thing is loaded with antivirus protection and to top it all off, it’s covered by three years of antitheft insurance. Just reading this feature list make you wonder exactly what awful thing happened to this notebook’s designer. Pricing starts at $1138.
Maybe the State Department should price a few, too.

Solar Maxed Out

The sun is currently in a quiet part of the solar storm cycle, but that will change beginning sometime around 2007.

The National Center for Atmospheric Research (UCAR) has developed the Predictive Flux-transport Dynamo Model to analyze past solar cycles. Based on its 98 percent accuracy in back-testing, scientists predict the coming sunspot cycle, number 24, could be 30-50% stronger than the last one.

This article touches on some of the mayhem that could be in store:

An 11-year epoch of increasingly severe solar storms that could fry power grids, disrupt cell-phone calls, knock satellites back to Earth, endanger astronauts in space, and force commercial airliners to change their routes to protect their radio communications and to avoid deadly solar radiation could begin as soon as this fall, scientists announced Monday.

When the solar cycle reaches its peak in 2012, it will hurl at Earth mammoth solar storms with intense radiation and clouds of high-speed subatomic particles millions of miles across, the scientists said.

A storm of that magnitude could short-circuit a world increasingly dependent on giant utilities and satellite communications networks. Such a storm in 1989 caused power grids to collapse, causing a five-hour blackout in Quebec.
Power grid disruptions such as the Quebec example above are caused when these storms introduce DC into AC power lines, tripping circuit breakers and/or causing transformers to overheat and fail.

In addition, these stronger geomagnetic storms, which have caused havoc in the past, will batter ever-finer electronic circuitry, which is correspondingly more sensitive to disruption.

Science trivia? Absolutely, but don't forget it.

Monday, March 06, 2006

I Say C2H6O; You Say C2H5OH

I take umbrage at the idea that I’m addicted to oil. I’m not. My SUV is the addict. But even with peak oil and Iran going nuclear, don’t you get a little nervous when politicians roll out tired energy schemes and pretend they’re the solution?

Take ethanol, which doesn’t sell without huge taxpayer subsidies, and can't spur private investment even with its avowed blue-sky potential. Unless you believe studies that play shell games with the system boundaries, it isn't economical, and won’t be in six years, if ever. But, hey, voters don’t know that.

There should be more articles like this:

Touting ethanol is certainly good politics - particularly in Midwestern corn-growing states that already welcome significant taxpayer subsidies for ethanol. But ethanol isn't necessarily good economics.

Researchers from Cornell University and the University of California-Berkeley analyzed energy input-yield ratios and reported last July that producing ethanol from corn requires 29 percent more energy than can be derived from the resulting fuel - the switch grass and wood chips ratios are worse (45 percent and 57 percent.)
An energy source can be promising without positive net energy, but to use politician-speak, we can do better.

So Close to a New Idea

Gary Hart thinks the Sunni Triangle is one sprawling Mogadishu. Sometimes the best thing to do is just return Blackhawk Down to the video store, pay the late fee, and move on.

"Our army is in danger," he said. "If all-out civil war breaks out, we could lose our army. If Sunnis and Shiites take to the streets by the thousands, it could literally be impossible to get [the soldiers] out. ... I know that sounds apocalyptic, but it's not out of the question. We need an exit strategy. We have no choice. We're making things worse. Ninety percent of the insurgents are Iraqis who don't like the fact that we have occupied their country. ...
The self-described “Renaissance man of new ideas” (Can anyone name just one? Anyone?) has a lot of experience with exit strategies, but evading Miami Herald reporters doesn’t add much to urban combat doctrine.
"I know we can't just pack up and leave right away, but we're still acting as if we hold all the cards over there. We don't. We're losing control of the situation. ... The British occupied Iraq for 35 years and finally had to leave because there was a constant insurgency against them. We haven't learned anything."
You’d think after 35 years, they’d have figured out that all they have to do is go outside by the thousands...

Monday, February 27, 2006

Easy There, Larry

The usually reliable and insightful Larry Kudlow has gone off the rails on the port deal:
Make no mistake about it. What is going on right now on television news channels, newspapers and the Internet is simple. It is called Islamophobia.
Kudlow should be able to take his shots at xenophobes without suggesting that people concerned about the deal’s oversight are racists. If the due diligence was sound (and I believe a second round will show that it was), let the arguments lead the undecided to that conclusion. No kicking should be necessary.

Sunday, February 26, 2006

A Protectionist Under Every Bed?

Journalists have been quick to see the Dubai seaport controversy as evidence of a protectionist groundswell. While they are right that a scuttled deal will have a chilling effect on Middle East direct investment in the United States, this article observes that Middle East direct investment isn't all it's cracked up to be:
Despite soaring oil revenue in the Middle East and the uproar over the attempt by a Dubai company to control seaport terminals at several American ports, Arab countries have made little effort to acquire hard assets in the United States, confining their investment mostly to holdings in real estate, oil refining and financial services.

Middle Eastern countries account for less than 1 percent of the $1.5 trillion of foreign direct investment in U.S. businesses and real estate, according to a recent report by the Congressional Research Service. That lags far behind the largest foreign investors: Britain, Japan, Germany, the Netherlands and France.

Looking at this approximately $15 billion another way, the member nations of the GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) recorded $23.15 billion in oil revenues in the month of January alone.

Thursday, February 23, 2006

Quote of the Day

Knaves imagine nothing can be done without Knavery.
- Thomas Fuller, Gnomologia. No. 3135

Monday, February 20, 2006

Both Sides Against the Middle

There’s an impressive Paul Saffo interview in the San Francisco Chronicle. Saffo’s a futurist, but don’t call him one (sensible thing to be touchy about, actually), has a blog he refuses to call a blog, and can probably filibuster about how a pencil is better than a PDA. Read the whole curmudgeonly thing. Excerpt:

Q: How does the speed of information and the way we obtain information impact our culture and politics?

A: As a global society we are performing a great experiment on ourselves. Half of the world population wants to race faster into the future. Go visit China and India. They're ready to go. And half of the world wants to drag us into the past. The problem is both sides have guns. I think there really is a reaction. A lot of people are saying enough is enough.

And my favorite:

Q: What else does technology force us to rethink?

A: Digital technology is the solvent leaching the glue out of all of our traditional institutions.

Thursday, February 16, 2006

Iran's Ahmadinejad: 'Aim Right Here'

Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has one rhetorical setting, all the time: Hair-on-fire crazy. He's always quick with a holocaust denial or a threat to wipe Israel from the map, which plays well on the Arab street.

His intended audience could be smaller however, if it turns out his purpose is to provoke an Israeli raid on Iran's nuclear assets. And his motives may not be as crazy as his rhetoric.

Under the Begin Doctrine, Israel will strike a hostile nation preemptively to prevent it from acquiring a nuclear bomb, and an imminent threat need not be present. The Israel Air Force (IAF) bombed Iraq's Osirak nuclear facility near Baghdad in 1981 when Iraq was by most estimates still years away from having a bomb.

Ahmadinejad, however, believes Iran's nuclear program could weather even a massive Israeli strike with acceptable losses. The country sits on the other side of Iraq from Israel, adding distance and the logistical challenge of hitting perhaps dozens of well defended and/or blast-hardened nuclear facilities and hide-sites dispersed around the country.

But how is a survivable attack better than no attack at all as far as Ahmadinejad is concerned?

The key may lie in the fact that the United States has scored a diplomatic win by getting China and Russia aboard the bloc of 27 (out of a possible 35) International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) member-nations to vote to refer Iran to the U.N. Security Council for trashing its nuclear non-proliferation agreements.

This leaves Iran more isolated than it had counted on being. Given the economic ties it enjoys with China and Russia, the Iranian regime had likely figured these trading partners would block any serious effort to stop its nuclear ambitions, especially when pushed by the United States.

But responsible nuclear powers are sober, deliberate, and unexciting. By contrast, nuclear-armed theocracies fronted by hate-spewing puppets can be too hot to handle, even for the Russians and Chinese looking to erode U.S. influence in the Middle East. Say what you will about the North Koreans, at least they understand that an enrichment program means you make crazy threats and the West will enrich you.

Now, if Iran continues to enrich uranium and advance its program, it faces the real prospect of years of sanctions and foreign efforts to encourage uprisings against the country’s unpopular ruling mullahs. The regime might not survive that, even with its windfall oil riches.

The IAEA meets again in March, at which point Iran may harden its bellicose position further. In the lull before then, the Russians are trying to restart stalled talks to perform uranium enrichment on Russian soil (ensuring enrichment does not exceed levels sufficient for peaceful use when it's sent back to Iran). In the meantime they don't want their trading partner shot up or bombed, even a little. Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has warned that it is important not to make threats toward Iran.

Compared to a tightening noose of sanctions and resulting domestic unrest, an Israeli air strike could seem like Hanukkah for Ahmadinejad -- a different present every day.

Beyond retaliatory actions against Israel and U.S. forces in Iraq, such a strike would immediately cause Russia, China, and perhaps India to U-turn and back Iran, while uniting a population of 66 million in nationalist fervor against an external enemy. Also, given the Iranian regime's penchant for placing bunkers next to mosques and other civilian targets, even a surgically precise strike could yield enough propaganda footage to cause riots throughout the Muslim world.

As for further inspections of its nuclear program, a strike would allow Iran to claim that its nuclear power program had been completely destroyed, giving the regime an excuse to keep nuclear inspectors out of the country, there being "nothing left to inspect."

Even if Ahmadinejad is sincere about flaming nuclear death for Israel, an air strike that merely sets back his ambitions a year or three could be just what he, and the mullahs, hope for.


[Note: This first appeared here at Human Events Online]

Sunday, February 12, 2006

Google-Mart

Just as Wal-Mart is the favored quarry of pack-hunting anti-capitalist groups, Google has become Big Brother for privacy advocates.

And brother, has Google gotten Big: The 207 million Internet users in the U.S. did 5.1 billion searches in December, according to Nielsen/NetRatings, with most of it via Google. December is a 31-day month, which makes that (tap, tap, tap) a rate of 1,904 searches per second. Even if you factor out bloggers, that’s still got to be several hundred…

But on its way to assimilating the planet, Google has detoured into a PR firestorm of Sony rootkit proportions. The Electronic Frontier Foundation (“Defending Freedom in the Digital World”) warns:

San Francisco -- Google today announced a new "feature" of its Google Desktop software that greatly increases the risk to consumer privacy. If a consumer chooses to use it, the new "Search Across Computers" feature will store copies of the user's Word documents, PDFs, spreadsheets and other text-based documents on Google's own servers, to enable searching from any one of the user's computers. EFF urges consumers not to use this feature, because it will make their personal data more vulnerable to subpoenas from the government and possibly private litigants, while providing a convenient one-stop-shop for hackers who've obtained a user's Google password.

Beyond some minor quibbles, EFF’s argument is sound. This makes you wonder how a feature with such high creepiness index could get signed off on by a sentient management biped. This won’t blow over right away and will likely win the company knee-jerk legislation for its trouble. Probably not what they had in mind.

Anyway, maybe Google and Wal-Mart could just coalesce into Google-Mart so every interest group could just hate one entity.

[I originally posted this at The Right Angle, a Human Events Online blog]

Saturday, February 11, 2006

Another Day, Another Quote of the Day

"What is a drop of rain, compared to the storm? What is a thought, compared to the mind? Our unity is full of wonder, which your tiny individualism cannot even concieve..." - The Many, System Shock 2 (1999)

Friday, February 10, 2006

Help the Danes

Here's a website dedicated to helping Danish businesses recover from boycotts:

Because freedom of expression and freedom of speech are bedrock values in any true democracy. Because external forces that try to control what a Danish paper chooses to publish in Denmark are misguided. Because we all have a stake in protecting democratic freedoms.

It hasn't been populated with many companies yet, but check back. I'm going to buy a Lego set, have a nice cold Carlsberg beer ("Probably the best beer in the world."), and build a religious figure from history. Fun! Oh, wait, not fun. Very, very dangerous. This clash of cultures stuff sure takes some getting used to.

Step. Away. From. The. Car.

Ahh, journalists and test drives. The two go together like bulls and china shops. There are of course door dings, latte spills, and engine-demolishing 4-to-1 downshifts for car companies to deal with. But some things they just can't anticipate. Consider this Wired scribe's exploration of the 24-GHz Distronic radar on the 2007 S-class sedan:

The function took some getting used to. After setting the system to maintain a distance of about 170 feet from cars in front of me, it took a lot of nerve not to apply the brake manually when I was humming along at over 90 mph and saw that traffic had come to a dead stop just a few hundred feet away. But in time I learned to trust the Distronic system enough to force myself to keep my feet flat on the floor while the car gently decelerated from high speeds to a dead stop -- without plowing into the car ahead of me.

The feature is, um, designed to maintain a safe distance between you and the MOVING vehicle in front of you, not to execute panic stops from...90 mph.

For anyone who flunked physics, here's this from AutoTrader.com:

Of course the faster you go, the more time and distance it takes to stop. For example, at 70 mph, perception and reaction distance equals 154 feet, and braking distance equals 188 feet, for a total of 342 feet (5.2 seconds). And we won't even talk about 80 mph and above, since our readers are law-abiding citizens who never break the speed laws. It wouldn't interest you to know, for instance, that at 80 mph it takes over 422 feet (5.7 seconds) to bring your vehicle to a halt, and at 90 mph more than 509 feet (6.2 seconds) -- nearly a tenth of a mile.

Makes you wonder how the car "gently decelerated."

No Way Bove

Every time some dodgy leftist is denied entry into the United States, the anti-Bush websites claim the motive is political. Maybe he would spill the beans about our voting machines, see. Or maybe he once sold short 100 shares of Halliburton. Yeah, that's it.

Here's a fairly typical example, provided by Daily Kos. Kos writes:

French critic of Mosanto [sic] and genetically modified crops is denied entry into U.S. Apparently critics of Big Business are now considered terrorists as well.

Turns out his critic of Big Business is none other than Jose Bove, who has smuggled Roquefort into the United States, destroyed hybrid crops and vandalized a McDonald’s restaurant (The cheese alone argues for immediate deportation). I’m only surprised he didn’t claim Bove was, um, denied entry for being a sheep farmer.

Thought for the Day

From Hagakure by Yamamoto Tsunetomo, translated by William Scott Wilson:

One should be wary of talking on end about such subjects as learning, morality or folklore in front of elders or people of rank. It is disagreeable to listen to.